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EU sanctions on Russia: 21st package close but not finalized yet

The European Union’s foreign policy chief has confirmed that member states are still hammering out the details of a 21st round of sanctions against Russia, saying a deal is within reach but hasn’t landed yet. The bloc has been tightening its economic grip on Moscow since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, and each new package has grown more complex to negotiate.

Where things stand right now

EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas told reporters that discussions are progressing and that negotiators are “quite close” to an agreement, but stopped short of announcing a timeline. That kind of careful language from Brussels usually means the final sticking points are still being argued behind closed doors. And with 27 member states needing to sign off, it’s never a simple process.

The 21st package is expected to focus heavily on closing loopholes in existing measures, particularly around so-called shadow fleet vessels that Russia has been using to ship oil in defiance of Western price caps. Sanctions evasion through third countries — including some in Central Asia and the Gulf — has also become a central concern for European negotiators.

What’s in the proposed package

While the full contents haven’t been officially confirmed, sources familiar with the talks say the new measures would target additional Russian individuals and entities, impose fresh restrictions on goods with dual civilian and military uses, and potentially expand the list of sanctioned vessels. There are currently around 400 ships on the EU’s shadow fleet blacklist.

One diplomatic source in Brussels said negotiators are focused on making sure this round actually bites. “The measures need to be enforceable,” the official said. “We’ve seen too many cases where the ink dries and the workarounds start almost immediately.”

Why agreement is taking time

Reaching consensus on sanctions packages has gotten harder, not easier, over time. Some member states — particularly Hungary — have historically dragged their feet on measures they see as economically damaging or politically contentious. But even beyond Budapest’s objections, the sheer technical complexity of targeting a major economy without causing undue harm to European businesses and consumers creates real friction at the negotiating table.

Still, the EU has managed to push through 20 packages in roughly three years. That’s a pace few analysts expected when the war first began.

What comes next

Kallas and her team are pushing to wrap up the 21st package in the coming weeks. Ukraine and its Western allies have been pressing the EU to maintain economic pressure on Moscow at a time when battlefield dynamics remain deeply uncertain and diplomatic talks have stalled repeatedly.

If the package is adopted, it would mark another incremental tightening of the most comprehensive sanctions regime the EU has ever imposed on a single country. Whether it changes anything on the ground in Ukraine is a much harder question — and one that Brussels doesn’t have a clean answer to.

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